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Oil (Brent) July 22, 2024

Technical Analysis Oil Technical Analysis Oil

Oil prices remain weighed by economic weakness in the world biggest oil importer China as last Monday’s disappointing read in GDP 4.7% against a 5.1% consensus forecast was followed by a CCP statement underscoring the complex economic environment it is facing. Adding to oils woes are OPEC plans of unwiding some of the supply cuts that has been providing a floor in prices. These far outweighed recent reports of inventory drawdowns in the US.

his outweighed concerns over a drop in US inventories and a decision to push ahead with plans of

Resistance

  • 83.56 – Intraday Consolidation Low
  • 83.16 – 50D Moving Average
  • 82.71 – Intraday Consolidation Low

Support

  • 81.57 – Intraday Consolidation Floor
  • 80.75 – Daily Consolidation Low
  • 80.22 – Intraday Consolidation High

Brent Crude saw a sharp sell-off to close below the 50D moving average Friday. With a closing bozu for a daily candle our bias will be to look for further weakness ever as we see the daily stochastic going in and out of oversold levels the past three weeks. Consider a push through Friday’s lows as an excuse to jump short the immediate objective at 80.75 a daily consolidation low from March and May. Alternatively long wicks in hourly charts coming of 82.71 may also be seen as an entry.