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XAUUSD May 08, 2024

Gold has been on a range play ever since seeing a new historic high at April 12. Global tensions have not quite lead to a big flare up though the potential remains keeping prices elevated. Demand from central banks diversifying off fiat currency has also been a reason for this years rally but if everyone is already in on the game who is there to push things further? Though we are not inclined to look for a substantial pull-back just yet.

Resistance

  • 2352.58 – Prior Daily Low – Range Play High
  • 2332.03/37.33 – Monday High / 20D Moving Average
  • 2322.26 – Previous Intraday Consolidation Floor / Intraday High

Support

  • 2310.04 – Intraday Consolidation Floor
  • 2303.34 – Previous Intraday Consolidation Resistance
  • 2297.33 – Monday’s Low

Given yesterday’s candle and the lower highs in the daily chart we favor looking to short XAUUSD on an intraday close below 2310.04 the immediate scenario being a continuation of the daily consolidation. Thus far the drama over Hamas acceptance of a truce offer and Israel’s rejection have been localized seeing little impact in financial markets. We will consider buys from 2281.70 with stops under 2277.22, Friday’s High Wave Doji Low.